Betting ideas for Monday Night time Soccer: Ravens vs. Saints

Week 9 of the NFL season wraps up Monday evening with the New Orleans Saints internet hosting the Baltimore Ravens (-3, 45) at Caesars Superdome (ESPN, 8:15 ET).

After an thrilling Sunday of motion, we have now yet another alternative to wager on skilled soccer. So which performs do our analysts like probably the most?

Betting analyst Joe Fortenbaugh, fantasy and sports activities betting analyst André Snellings, plus Soccer Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz present their prime performs.

Be aware: Strains from Caesars Sportsbook except in any other case indicated.

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Baltimore Ravens (-2, 47) at New Orleans Saints

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Caesars Superdome

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The Ravens enter Monday evening’s matchup towards the Saints as solely 2-point favorites. Do you just like the Ravens to maintain their NFC South streak rolling or can the Saints pull off the upset?

Schatz: I will take the Ravens and provides the 2 factors. Baltimore remains to be ranked fourth within the league in DVOA, together with No. 2 on offense and No. 1 on particular groups. In fact, it’s important to low cost their offense a bit with each Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman out (though Bateman hasn’t performed a giant function for weeks), however you additionally must low cost the New Orleans protection with out cornerback Marshon Lattimore. As I’ve famous a number of occasions on this house, Baltimore’s poor efficiency within the fourth quarter early within the yr just isn’t a sign that we must always count on fourth-quarter collapses all season lengthy. The Ravens are the higher staff and may pull this out, even when the Saints get frisky.

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Money out your parlay too early? Get burned on a final second play? Come commiserate with Jason Fitz and his unhealthy beats of the week.

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Lamar Jackson has averaged 69.1 speeding yards per recreation and presently leads the league in yards per carry (7.4). The Saints protection has additionally had some success towards cell quarterbacks, limiting them to only 136 yards and two touchdowns on 31 makes an attempt. Jackson’s speeding yard prop is presently 62.5 and he’s +145 to attain a landing. What are your ideas?

Schatz: I just like the below on the Jackson speeding prop, however would keep away from the TD prop. We presently have Jackson projected with simply 0.28 speeding touchdowns, nearer to a line of +250. Past that, the Saints rank thirty first in pass-rush win fee, suggesting there can be much less strain on Jackson to get out of the pocket and scramble.

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For the Saints, one of many lone brilliant spots this season has been the resurgence of Alvin Kamara. New Orleans is without doubt one of the greatest speeding groups within the league (fourth in speeding yards) whereas Baltimore has among the finest run defenses and simply added linebacker Roquan Smith on the commerce deadline. Do you want Kamara to go over his speeding prop (60.5 yards) on Monday evening?

Snellings: I like Kamara to go over 97 whole yards, however I am agnostic on his speeding prop. Kamara has all the time been greatest when getting used as a twin menace, and he is continued that in his resurgence. Over his final 4 outings, he has averaged 78.3 speeding yards and 67.0 receiving yards for 145.3 yards/recreation whole, going over 100 yards in all 4 video games. He is had extra receiving yards than speeding yards in two straight video games, making whole yards the safer play than merely relying on speeding alone.

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What’s your greatest guess for Monday evening’s recreation?

Fortenbaugh: I am going with Baltimore -0.5 (-105) within the first half. The Ravens rank fifth within the NFL in opponent first-half factors per recreation (8.8) and simply added a star linebacker (Smith) in a commerce with Chicago. Via 8 weeks, Baltimore additionally boasts a +4.7 first-half level differential whereas the Saints clock in at -2.3. Plus, get this — in his 57 profession regular-season begins, Jackson is 36-19-2 ATS within the first half.

Schatz: I will take Taysom Hill as the primary TD scorer (+700). We all know the Saints like to change it up with Hill close to the aim line, and the Ravens rank solely twenty fifth in run protection DVOA this season. This prop most likely does not hit, however +700 is sweet worth on it.

Snellings: I am additionally going to go along with Hill, however as an “anytime” landing (+155). Hill has scored six occasions in seven video games, together with his most up-to-date approaching a reception after his first 5 have been on the bottom. He did not rating any touchdowns in Week 8 — regardless of a season-high 10 carries and 11 touches — largely as a result of Kamara scored thrice. It appears like Hill is due.